I have a guilty pleasure. I love watching mixed martial arts. I know, it can appear pretty barbaric, but fortunately it’s not the same as it was when it first started. Nowadays, they have weight-classes, and rules like “no knees to the head of grounded opponent” which keeps it a little more sportsman-like. Plus it’s interesting to see match-ups wherein an elite striker knock-out artist goes up against a submissions specialist. In many ways, and because of the allotted time in the cage fighting, it’s quite possible that MMA is actually safer than boxing!

My predictions for UFC 142 are as follows:

Although I’m unfamiliar with the first two fights, I will take the hunch that Erick Silva will beat Carlo Prater by TKO and Edson Barboza will beat Terry Etim by knock out… that, or it’ll be the other way around.

Rousimar Palhares will defeat Mike Massenzio by submission before end of round one (I’m feeling either by rear-naked choke or triangle).

Anthony Johnson will defeat Vitor Belfort by TKO or Belfort will win after judges decision. Here, I AM going out on a limb. Belfort is a distinguished Brazilian warrior who has championed many over his illustrious career, but Anthony Johnson may have the power and ground-and-pound skills to finish him. I am not seeing an easy submission over Johnson, however, so if Belfort wins, it will happen after the judges decide.

Jose Aldo will defeat Chad Mendes by round two TKO or by the judges’ decision. Obviously, as an American, I want Chad to be the first in many many fights to finally end Aldo impressive winning streak. But my gut feeling is that if Aldo doesn’t knock Mendes out in Round One, the championship match may go the distance and the judges will be left to make the decision.

Between these five “fight-predictions”, the four NFL game predictions, and the four Golden Globe predictions I’ve made, I’ve now made 13 predictions regarding events that will unfold this weekend! And I was concerned I might not be able to make 12! Well, let’s see how well I do!

Remember, making predictions like these is NEVER an EXACT science!

POST 1-17-12:

My forecast was that Erick Silva will beat Carlo Prater by TKO. Now I did NOT see the fight that evening. so after finding out online that Silva was disqualified for illegal punches to the back of the head, and believing the win went to Carlo Prater (which would have made this prediction an unsuccessful one), I found out through one of my Facebook friends, Scott Deyett, that the fight ended after Silva technically knocked out Prater. But a couple of minutes between the end of the fight and the official announcement, the judges overturned the win because one of Silva’s blows landed on the back of Prater’s head. The replay showed that maybe one punch accidentally went to the back of the head, but the rest landed more fairly towards the side. Apparently, even Joe Rogan was declaring it a bad call. Even the UFC seems to think so (http://www.5thround.com/103063/ufc-pays-erick-silva-win-bonus-despite-disqualification-loss/). So I’m changing this this to a win! PREDICTION: SUCCESSFUL

My forecast was that Barboza will beat Terry Etim by knock out, and Barboza apparently did so with a “spinning heal kick”… PREDICTION: SUCCESSFUL

My forecast was that Rousimar Palhares will defeat Mike Massenzio by submission, and Palhares did just that, but with by way of what’s called a “heel hook”, so although I didn’t get the exact method of submission right, I did anticipate a submission-win… PREDICTION: SUCCESSFUL

My forecast was that Anthony Johnson will defeat Vitor Belfort by TKO or Belfort will win after judges decision, but indeed it was Vitor Belfort who emerged triumphant with a rear-naked choke. This was a typical case of me simply getting all patriotic and praying for an American win. Vitor Belfort was also, in my opinion, too obvious of a winning choice, so I purposely went against my own gut-feeling just to be controversial. Unfortunately, I paid for it with a losing prognostication. PREDICTION: UNSUCCESSFUL

Finally, my forecast was that Jose Aldo will defeat Chad Mendes by round two TKO, and Jose Aldo did indeed beat Mendes by the end of round one by knock out with a nicely-timed knee. Close enough! PREDICTION: SUCCESSFUL

For mixed martial arts, I will enjoy trying to pick future winners. FOUR out of FIVE, on my first public trial, is NOT BAD AT ALL. Booyah!!! 🙂

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